Credit to http://www.elections.in/uttarakhand/exit-poll.html
The hill state of Uttarakhand goes to elections on February 15, 2017 in single phase to select representatives to its 70-member Vidhan Sabha. Predicting the exact outcome of the Uttarakhand assembly elections can be a little tricky. Nonetheless, one thing is for certain: the race for majority is going to be a fight to the finish. The Congress will work hard to retain power in the face of anti-incumbency and its dwindling fortunes in other states. In the last Assembly elections held in 2012, no party got majority. The Congress was the single largest party and it forged a post-poll alliance with the PDF to form government in the state. The BJP was the runner-up and it sat in opposition.
Among the five states going to polls early in 2017, Uttarakhand is the only one where there is a direct fight between the Congress and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The India Today-Axis Opinion Poll shows that the Congress will find it difficult to retain power in this hill state. The opinion poll has given BJP 41 to 46 seats in the 70-seat Uttarakhand legislative assembly. The Congress is predicted to win 18 to 23 seats while others could get 2-6 seats. The survey also showed that the BJP is way ahead of Congress and other parties in terms of vote share. While the BJP is expected to get 45 per cent of vote share, Congress may come a distant second with 33 per cent of vote share. Others just 22 per cent. The opinion poll shows that BJP's B.C. Khanduri is a popular choice for the chief minister's post. However, there is a tight contest between Khanduri and incumbent Harish Rawat. Prime Minister Narendra Modi's demonetisation move is not going to affect the BJP's poll prospects as a majority of respondents (79 per cent) view the note ban as good.
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